Is Ann Selzer going to retire? I’m tossing that out there because she was a credible pollster until she dropped what arguably is a suppression poll showing that Kamala Harris was leading Donald Trump 47-44 in Iowa days before voters headed in to cast their ballots. The state was Trump +18 in June. It went Kamala +3 during the summer, and no one noticed. The woman, long viewed as the gold standard in this field, wrecked her credibility in one swoop. Her poll is now the subject of an internal investigation at Gannett, the publisher of The Des Moines Register, as someone at the paper leaked it to Democrats before it went public.
So, what went wrong, Ann? Trump carried Iowa in 2024 by 14 points. Everyone and their mother knew Trump would take the state, so why even release this poll? What the hell happened? This was more than a bit outside. Selzer explains that her poll animated the GOP voters in the state to turn out and vote:
In response to a critique that I “manipulated” the data, or had been paid (by some anonymous source, presumably on the Democratic side), or that I was exercising psyops or some sort of voter suppression: I told…
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